Latino voters swung back to Democrats in 2026 midterms, with 69% backing House candidates

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Latino voters gave Democratic House candidates an estimated 69% of their support in the midterm elections, a 28-point increase from the previous midterms, according to projections. (Foto: Instagram)

Latino voters in the United States gave Democratic candidates a larger share of their support in this year’s midterm elections, according to projections from The New York Times. An estimated 69% backed Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives, up 28 percentage points from the previous midterm election. The result marks a rebound for Democrats among a group that has historically favored the party but moved closer to Republicans in the 2024 presidential race.

Donald Trump won the highest share of Latino votes of any Republican presidential candidate in decades in 2024. Concerns about the economy and the cost of living were among the factors cited in his gains. The latest midterm projections point to a shift back toward Democrats, although the overall figures do not mean Latino voters supported the party uniformly across the country or in every contest.

The shift was also reflected in several state races. In Texas, 70% of Latino voters supported Democratic candidates in the Senate race, a 42-point increase compared with 2024. In Kansas, Democratic support among Latino voters reached 75%, up 40 points. In Florida, Democrats received 53% of Latino votes, a 20-point increase, though Republican Ashley Moody won the Senate race.

The results came as Trump’s approval among Latino voters who supported him in 2024 declined, according to an October Pew Research Center survey. Among those voters, his approval fell from 93% at the start of his second term to 57%. The survey findings offer one measure of the change in sentiment, while the election projections show how Latino voters divided their votes in specific contests.

Economic concerns remain prominent among Latino voters. Pew found that 86% of registered Latino voters considered the economy very important in deciding how to vote in legislative elections. Immigration was also a priority, cited by 64%. Trump’s immigration policies, including expanded enforcement operations, arrests and deportations, have drawn opposition: 62% of Latino voters surveyed said the government was doing too much to deport immigrants living in the United States illegally.

Latinos make up 16% of eligible voters in the United States, or about 39 million people, according to Pew Research Center. The group’s size and the shifts in support reflected in the midterm projections make its voting patterns a significant part of the election results, while the state-by-state figures show that the scale of Democratic gains varied by race.

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